- The NATO Secretary General said he believed international aid could help Ukraine win the war.
- However, experts say that tough sanctions on Russian oil and gas will help “strangle” Russia.
- This has a price for EU countries, which could turn their populations against Ukraine.
The NATO secretary general said Russia’s setbacks indicate Ukraine could win the war, but not without additional international help.
“Russia’s war in Ukraine is not going the way Moscow planned,” Jens Stoltenberg said via video link at a NATO meeting in Berlin on Sunday, according to the Associated Press. “They failed to take kyiv. They are withdrawing from the vicinity of Kharkiv. Their major offensive in the Donbass has stalled. Russia is not achieving its strategic objectives.”
“Ukraine can win this war,” he said.
However, some experts say they are skeptical whether there will be a clear winner in the war and unsure how much longer international support for Ukraine will last.
Robert English, an associate professor of international relations at the University of Southern California, told Insider late last month that if the West continues to help Ukraine — whether through financial means or by imposing tougher penalties – he expects support to eventually dwindle due to economic pressure. as the war drags on.
According to English, if the West “really wants to strangle Russia” and “really wants to cut off the money that funds this war”, it must stop buying oil and gas from the country – a minimal effort so far.
These measures risk making difficult, if only temporarily, the living conditions of the countries of Western Europe which now need to find other sources of energy.
which will in turn trigger a wider recession across the EU,” said English. too them.”
The cost that would be absorbed by the Europeans could cause them to regret their support for Ukraine, which could hamper the political support of their governments.
“It’s not that a German leader or an Italian leader doesn’t think his people can handle six months of rationing or deprivation. They’re just afraid they’ve voted in the meantime,” English said.
William Ruger, pres
“The first is that both sides think they’d be better off negotiating at the table and finding a way forward than continuing to fight. But, as long as one side thinks they have an advantage in staying in the fight, and the utility in the future is expected to outweigh the costs, then we will continue to see a struggle,” Ruger said.